KCS GAD Risk Map Brief: Azerbaijan June 2022



The Karabakh case is perhaps one of those rare instances of contested territory where the world is virtually united on who should control it. The Nagorno-Karabakh province was settled by both Azerbaijanis and ethnic Armenians but cleaved to a newly independent Azerbaijan after the fall of the USSR. Armenia immediately began a guerrilla conflict that flared up intermittently for the next thirty years, most strongly (and recently) in 2020, and which was only settled by a brokered peace deal and third-party peacekeeping forces. While Azerbaijan may be ‘in the right’ territorially, as far as global opinion goes, this does not give it the right to commit…

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