Canada – Carney’s Plan

Canada’s trade talks collapse with the US should not be viewed simply as another tariff dispute between neighbours. The timing, as with everythinapse with the g in today's world, matters. Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended negotiations on 21 August, little more than ten weeks before the 3 November mid-term elections in the US. Washington says

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Iran – a different conflict requires a different strategy

US and Israeli military operations have damaged Iranian facilities and removed senior leaders but have not forced Tehran to change its strategic objectives. Attempts to weaken Iran through leadership targeting may have created opportunities for a younger and potentially more militant generation within the IRGC. Iran views the conflict as a struggle for regime survival

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The Western Balkans – the rising threat from Russia and the risks for Europe

The Western Balkan states - Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Kosovo, Albania, and North Macedonia - remain overlooked areas of potential investment. However, oft-cited risks of operating there include weak governance and political paralysis, unresolved conflicts and secessionist movements, the enduring presence of organised crime groups and foreign hybrid influence. These structural threats are considerable,

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Preparing for the day that systems go down

For several decades, technological progress has been treated almost soley as improvement. Faster computers, permanent connectivity, satellite navigation, cloud storage, artificial intelligence and increasingly sophisticated communications, have transformed civilian life, government and business. Yet, a counter-trend is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. In some environments, particularly those involving security, intelligence and critical infrastructure, older and

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The Globalists are losing their grip

Globalist interests have enjoyed considerable influence for many decades. However, that position is now changing and at an increasing pace. Putting aside Iran and Ukraine for the moment, the world is at war between those who believe in protecting and building their countries and those who are driven to financially liquidate them to increase their wealth,

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Why Turkey and Erdogan are now the centre of Trump’s attention

President Trump effectively said it himself. He went to Ankara to see President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and made clear that he would not have made the journey for most other leaders. He also said plainly that he stood with Turkey. Those remarks matter because they reveal that the NATO summit itself was almost just a

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The war before the mid-terms: red flags for America’s political future

The US is moving toward the mid-term elections under conditions that no longer look like normal democratic competition. Abroad, the Ukraine war is being pushed into a new phase, Iran is an on-again-off-again switch remaining a live trigger point, China is testing missiles while using minerals and diplomacy to test the Indo-Pacific order, and energy

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In the shadows of BRICS, a different alignment is forming

Not so long ago, BRICS dominated geopolitical commentary. Every conference, summit and economic forecast seemed to revolve around the rise of a new power bloc challenging Western influence. Yet today, discussion of BRICS appears noticeably muted. Perhaps this is because the world's strategic landscape has evolved beyond the framework through which BRICS was originally understood.

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The collapse of the old order: Europe’s political crisis and the rise of strategic realignment

The geopolitical assumptions that defined the post-Cold War era are rapidly disintegrating. Across Europe, traditional political parties are collapsing under the weight of public frustration, while NATO struggles to adapt to the realities of modern warfare exposed by Ukraine. At the same time, the media environment that once sustained Western consensus politics is fragmenting as

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The Turkey threat: Israel, Syria and the edge of conflict

Turkey’s emergence as a primary strategic concern for Israel is no longer confined to diplomatic disputes or rhetorical clashes. Increasingly, Israeli political and military circles are presenting Ankara as a long-term structural threat within the changing architecture of the Middle East. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s increasingly confrontational posture toward Israel, combined with Ankara’s efforts

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