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security risks

The Turkey threat: Israel, Syria and the edge of conflict

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Turkey’s emergence as a primary strategic concern for Israel is no longer confined to diplomatic disputes or rhetorical clashes. Increasingly, Israeli political and military circles are presenting Ankara as a long-term structural threat within the changing architecture of the Middle East. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s increasingly confrontational posture toward Israel, combined with Ankara’s efforts [...]

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The age of strategic fatigue: why great powers are running out of appetite, not capability

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At first glance, the global system appears more militarised and confrontational than at any point since the late Cold War; no surprise there with some 60 major conflicts affecting life and limb around the world as we speak. While this is underway, defence budgets are expanding across NATO, East Asia, the Middle East and Russia,

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UK & Europe’s Critical Infrastructure

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For the past 18-24 months, KCS Group International has been warning – repeatedly and with increasing urgency - that Europe’s critical infrastructure is dangerously exposed. What was once a forecast is now an undeniable reality. Russia’s hybrid operations have not only intensified but quadrupled in 2025, exploiting every weakness in a system that has been

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UK’s Manufacturing Crisis: JLR cyberattack, supply chains and industrial fragility

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When a cyberattack hit Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) - owned by India’s Tata group - at the end of August 2025, production paused across key UK sites and thousands of factory staff were told to stay home while systems were rebuilt. JLR moved to a phased restart in early October beginning with Wolverhampton, then Solihull

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From Conflict Zone to Energy Hub: Mozambique’s LNG Gamble

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In northern Mozambique, lies one of the world’s richest undeveloped gas basins, just offshore in a province still scarred by jihadist violence. Since 2017, the Cabo Delgado insurgency has claimed at least 4,600 lives and uprooted about a million residents, forcing TotalEnergies to suspend work on its flagship LNG complex in 2021. Fast‑forward to July 2025: Rwandan and

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Urgent Cyber Alert – Ransomware and Cyber Attacks escalating to war-like levels

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We are issuing this urgent cyber alert in light of the dramatic surge in ransomware and cyber-attacks impacting organisations across the UK and Europe. The severity and sophistication of these attacks represent a significant escalation, moving beyond isolated incidents to what can only be described as a state of cyber warfare. Intelligence from both European

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Breaking out: Is Syria’s Hayat Tahrir al-Sham moving away from Jihad and Sharia law?

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As Syria’s new Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) led-government tentatively explores governance away from jihad and strict Sharia law, the reactions from extremist factions have been notably severe and revealing. Sami al-'Uraydi, leader of Syria's Tanzim Hurras al-Din (sometimes referred to as Al-Qaeda in Syria), has vocally opposed any deviation from Sharia, embodying a "Sharia or

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Sudan on the brink: a civil war and those profiting

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The brutal conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has plunged Sudan deep into humanitarian crisis, marked by staggering loss of life and mass displacement. Death tolls are now nearing 150,000, and millions have been forced from their homes. The scale of suffering reported is immense. International involvement is

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Hybrid Warfare – the coordinated efforts of Russia and China against the West

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Russia and China are conducting hybrid warfare campaigns against Western nations, leveraging a blend of conventional military assets and non-military tactics, including cyberattacks, disinformation, economic pressure, and exploitation of political and legal systems. These efforts aim to destabilise and weaken adversaries from within. Russia has been intensifying its sabotage campaigns across the EU, reflecting a

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Ethiopia’s Fractured State: The fragile path forward

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While the world’s media has largely focused on Ethiopia’s Tigray conflict, unrest in Oromia (Central Ethiopia) and other regions reveals the scale of volatility within the country. Oromia, Ethiopia's largest region, has been the scene of ethnic tensions, driven by longstanding grievances over political sidelining, unequal resource allocation and land rights. The Oromo Liberation Army

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