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Why Turkey and Erdogan are now the centre of Trump’s attention

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President Trump effectively said it himself. He went to Ankara to see President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and made clear that he would not have made the journey for most other leaders. He also said plainly that he stood with Turkey. Those remarks matter because they reveal that the NATO summit itself was almost just a [...]

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The war before the mid-terms: red flags for America’s political future

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The US is moving toward the mid-term elections under conditions that no longer look like normal democratic competition. Abroad, the Ukraine war is being pushed into a new phase, Iran is an on-again-off-again switch remaining a live trigger point, China is testing missiles while using minerals and diplomacy to test the Indo-Pacific order, and energy

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In the shadows of BRICS, a different alignment is forming

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Not so long ago, BRICS dominated geopolitical commentary. Every conference, summit and economic forecast seemed to revolve around the rise of a new power bloc challenging Western influence. Yet today, discussion of BRICS appears noticeably muted. Perhaps this is because the world's strategic landscape has evolved beyond the framework through which BRICS was originally understood.

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The collapse of the old order: Europe’s political crisis and the rise of strategic realignment

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The geopolitical assumptions that defined the post-Cold War era are rapidly disintegrating. Across Europe, traditional political parties are collapsing under the weight of public frustration, while NATO struggles to adapt to the realities of modern warfare exposed by Ukraine. At the same time, the media environment that once sustained Western consensus politics is fragmenting as

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The Turkey threat: Israel, Syria and the edge of conflict

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Turkey’s emergence as a primary strategic concern for Israel is no longer confined to diplomatic disputes or rhetorical clashes. Increasingly, Israeli political and military circles are presenting Ankara as a long-term structural threat within the changing architecture of the Middle East. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s increasingly confrontational posture toward Israel, combined with Ankara’s efforts

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Strategic Tension

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One of the very few theorical frameworks that actually seems to make sense of the geopolitical chaos we see today is that the City of London, and its aligned transnational financial networks, are in the process of liquidating the West, while trying to decamp to China. But things have not exactly gone according to plan.

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Politics be damned

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This is no longer about Ukraine. It is about trajectory. The UK and EU leaders are driving their nations to a point where economic fragility, political fragmentation and strategic overreach will meet like a train crash. The continued rhetoric of open-ended confrontation with Russia may play well in chambers and summits, but the negative consequences

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China and the Power of One

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China’s political direction since Donald Trump first entered the White House has often been described as reactive; a series of responses to tariffs, technology controls and diplomatic pressure. In reality, Beijing’s trajectory has been shaped less by Washington’s personalities than by a deeper conclusion reached within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), that the era of

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Canada’s strategic crossroads: navigating between Washington and Beijing

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The environment that supported Canadian foreign policy since the end of the Cold War is fragmenting, with power politics returning to the centre of international relations and economic policy increasingly tied to strategic competition. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s speech at the World Economic Forum (WEF) reflected this assessment, arguing that the global governance framework is

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Is the EU at war with the US or with itself?

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The claim that the EU is “at war” with the US sounds hyperbolic at first glance. Washington remains Europe’s principal security guarantor, its largest external trading partner and (through NATO) the backbone of continental defence. Yet, beneath the formal architecture of alliance, a more corrosive dynamic has emerged. Policy choices taken in Brussels and several

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