Europe – KCS Group Asia Ltd

The Western Balkans – the rising threat from Russia and the risks for Europe

Articles / Conflict, Corruption, cyberwarfare, Due Diligence, Europe, Geopolitics, governance, OCG, risks, Russia, Sanctions, supply chains, Threats, USA, Western Balkans / 09/2026

The Western Balkan states - Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Kosovo, Albania, and North Macedonia - remain overlooked areas of potential investment. However, oft-cited risks of operating there include weak governance and political paralysis, unresolved conflicts and secessionist movements, the enduring presence of organised crime groups and foreign hybrid influence. These structural threats are considerable,

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The war before the mid-terms: red flags for America’s political future

Articles / Canada, China, Due Diligence, Elections, energy markets, Europe, Global trade, Iran, Middle East, NATO, Pesident Trump, Russia, Ukraine, USA / 07/2026

The US is moving toward the mid-term elections under conditions that no longer look like normal democratic competition. Abroad, the Ukraine war is being pushed into a new phase, Iran is an on-again-off-again switch remaining a live trigger point, China is testing missiles while using minerals and diplomacy to test the Indo-Pacific order, and energy

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The collapse of the old order: Europe’s political crisis and the rise of strategic realignment

Articles / China, City of London, cyberwarfare, defence, Due Diligence, Europe, Geopolitics, global economy, misinformation, NATO, risks, Russia:Ukraine conflict, Sanctions, USA / 06/2026

The geopolitical assumptions that defined the post-Cold War era are rapidly disintegrating. Across Europe, traditional political parties are collapsing under the weight of public frustration, while NATO struggles to adapt to the realities of modern warfare exposed by Ukraine. At the same time, the media environment that once sustained Western consensus politics is fragmenting as

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Politics be damned

Articles / debt crisis, defence, Due Diligence, economic growth, Europe, Industrial, political instability, risks, United Kingdom, USA / 02/2026

This is no longer about Ukraine. It is about trajectory. The UK and EU leaders are driving their nations to a point where economic fragility, political fragmentation and strategic overreach will meet like a train crash. The continued rhetoric of open-ended confrontation with Russia may play well in chambers and summits, but the negative consequences

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Warfare by any other name?

Articles / China, Conflict, Cyber Security, cyberwarfare, Economy, energy markets, Europe, European Union, Global trade, hybrid warfare, misinformation, NATO, political instability, Russia, United Kingdom / 02/2026

For years, European officials have spoken about “hybrid warfare” as though it were a future threat. It is not. It is already embedded in the political and economic landscape of the continent, and has been raging for years. Hybrid warfare does not begin with tanks crossing borders. It begins with ambiguity. It operates in the

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The age of strategic fatigue: why great powers are running out of appetite, not capability

Articles / China, Conflict, defence, Due Diligence, East Asia, Europe, financial governance, Geopolitics, Middle East, NATO, Russia, security risks, United States of America, War / 01/2026

At first glance, the global system appears more militarised and confrontational than at any point since the late Cold War; no surprise there with some 60 major conflicts affecting life and limb around the world as we speak. While this is underway, defence budgets are expanding across NATO, East Asia, the Middle East and Russia,

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UK & Europe’s Critical Infrastructure

Articles / defence, Due Diligence, Economy, Europe, Geopolitics, hybrid warfare, Infrastructure, IT Security, Russia, security risks, United Kingdom / 01/2026

For the past 18-24 months, KCS Group International has been warning – repeatedly and with increasing urgency - that Europe’s critical infrastructure is dangerously exposed. What was once a forecast is now an undeniable reality. Russia’s hybrid operations have not only intensified but quadrupled in 2025, exploiting every weakness in a system that has been

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Is the EU at war with the US or with itself?

Articles / Due Diligence, Europe, European Union, Geopolitics, global energy security, Global trade, Industrial, International Security, NATO, political instability, risks, Russia, USA / 12/2025

The claim that the EU is “at war” with the US sounds hyperbolic at first glance. Washington remains Europe’s principal security guarantor, its largest external trading partner and (through NATO) the backbone of continental defence. Yet, beneath the formal architecture of alliance, a more corrosive dynamic has emerged. Policy choices taken in Brussels and several

Is the EU at war with the US or with itself? Read More »

ARC and the powers determined to stop it

Articles / China, Due Diligence, energy markets, Europe, exports, Geopolitics, Global trade, NATO, risks, Russia, Sanctions, tariffs, Technology, trade relations, United Kingdom, USA / 12/2025

For the first time since the end of the Cold War, the world’s three largest powers (the US, Russia and China) are showing signs of drifting into a pragmatic triangular balance. It is not an alliance, and it is not ideological. It is, instead, the product of converging interests. Quiet US-Russia communications on energy and

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Europe’s push for rare earth magnet production: can it wean off China?

Articles / Canada, China, Due Diligence, Estonia, Europe, Geopolitics, minerals, rare earth magnet, risks, supply chains / 11/2025

Europe’s debut into large-scale rare-earth magnet manufacturing via the newly opened plant in Narva, Estonia, is a bold signal. Backed by EU funds and Canadian Export Credit Agency loans, this facility represents a strategic effort to break China’s long-standing stranglehold on critical magnet supply chains. But as promising as that may seem, the road to

Europe’s push for rare earth magnet production: can it wean off China? Read More »

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