Geopolitics

The collapse of the old order: Europe’s political crisis and the rise of strategic realignment

The geopolitical assumptions that defined the post-Cold War era are rapidly disintegrating. Across Europe, traditional political parties are collapsing under the weight of public frustration, while NATO struggles to adapt to the realities of modern warfare exposed by Ukraine. At the same time, the media environment that once sustained Western consensus politics is fragmenting as [...]

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The Turkey threat: Israel, Syria and the edge of conflict

Turkey’s emergence as a primary strategic concern for Israel is no longer confined to diplomatic disputes or rhetorical clashes. Increasingly, Israeli political and military circles are presenting Ankara as a long-term structural threat within the changing architecture of the Middle East. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s increasingly confrontational posture toward Israel, combined with Ankara’s efforts

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Strategic Tension

One of the very few theorical frameworks that actually seems to make sense of the geopolitical chaos we see today is that the City of London, and its aligned transnational financial networks, are in the process of liquidating the West, while trying to decamp to China. But things have not exactly gone according to plan.

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China and the Power of One

China’s political direction since Donald Trump first entered the White House has often been described as reactive; a series of responses to tariffs, technology controls and diplomatic pressure. In reality, Beijing’s trajectory has been shaped less by Washington’s personalities than by a deeper conclusion reached within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), that the era of

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The US, EU and the UK: defence or destruction?

Transatlantic relations are entering a period of visible tension as political, economic and strategic pressures converge across the US, the EU and the UK. President Donald Trump’s return to office has accelerated these stresses rather than created them, exposing structural weaknesses that had been masked by habit, shared rhetoric and institutional inertia. Nowhere is this

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The age of strategic fatigue: why great powers are running out of appetite, not capability

At first glance, the global system appears more militarised and confrontational than at any point since the late Cold War; no surprise there with some 60 major conflicts affecting life and limb around the world as we speak. While this is underway, defence budgets are expanding across NATO, East Asia, the Middle East and Russia,

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UK & Europe’s Critical Infrastructure

For the past 18-24 months, KCS Group International has been warning – repeatedly and with increasing urgency - that Europe’s critical infrastructure is dangerously exposed. What was once a forecast is now an undeniable reality. Russia’s hybrid operations have not only intensified but quadrupled in 2025, exploiting every weakness in a system that has been

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Is the EU at war with the US or with itself?

The claim that the EU is “at war” with the US sounds hyperbolic at first glance. Washington remains Europe’s principal security guarantor, its largest external trading partner and (through NATO) the backbone of continental defence. Yet, beneath the formal architecture of alliance, a more corrosive dynamic has emerged. Policy choices taken in Brussels and several

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ARC and the powers determined to stop it

For the first time since the end of the Cold War, the world’s three largest powers (the US, Russia and China) are showing signs of drifting into a pragmatic triangular balance. It is not an alliance, and it is not ideological. It is, instead, the product of converging interests. Quiet US-Russia communications on energy and

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The end of the Global South? A fragmenting bloc with no common interests

The term Global South has served as diplomatic shorthand for a loose coalition of developing states seeking greater voice in a world dominated by Western institutions and norms. The label implied shared grievances and converging interests, suggesting that formerly marginalised regions could act collectively to reshape global governance. Today, however, this narrative is increasingly hard

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