Geopolitics – KCS Group Europe Ltd

Hybrid Warfare – the coordinated efforts of Russia and China against the West

Articles / Business Risk, China, Corruption, disinformation, Due Diligence, European Union, Geopolitics, Global Threats, hybrid warfare, Russia, security risks, United Kingdom, USA / 01/2025

Russia and China are conducting hybrid warfare campaigns against Western nations, leveraging a blend of conventional military assets and non-military tactics, including cyberattacks, disinformation, economic pressure, and exploitation of political and legal systems. These efforts aim to destabilise and weaken adversaries from within. Russia has been intensifying its sabotage campaigns across the EU, reflecting a [...]

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Ethiopia’s Fractured State: The fragile path forward

Articles / Conflict, Due Diligence, Ethiopia, Geopolitics, Human rights, humanitarian, security risks, United nations, USA / 12/2024

While the world’s media has largely focused on Ethiopia’s Tigray conflict, unrest in Oromia (Central Ethiopia) and other regions reveals the scale of volatility within the country. Oromia, Ethiopia's largest region, has been the scene of ethnic tensions, driven by longstanding grievances over political sidelining, unequal resource allocation and land rights. The Oromo Liberation Army

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The South China Sea: Is there a compromise?

Articles / ASEAN, China, Due Diligence, Geopolitics, Indonesia, Malaysia, maritime law, Philippines, South China Sea, USA, Vietnam / 12/2024

The South China Sea remains a focal point of strategic and territorial dispute, principally involving China and neighbouring ASEAN member countries like the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia. This region, crucial for international shipping and its wealth of natural resources, witnesses frequent disputes that have the potential to escalate into greater regional conflict. China's assertive

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Nagorno-Karabakh has fallen: Russia’s silent role

Articles / Armenia, Azerbaijan, Caspian, Caucasus, Due Diligence, European Union, Geopolitics, humanitarian, Nagorno Karabakh, Russia, Sanctions, trade corridor, Turkey / 12/2024

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, a longstanding territorial dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan, has escalated exponentially over years. In September 2023, Azerbaijan launched a military offensive against the self-declared Republic of Artsakh in Nagorno-Karabakh, leading to a ceasefire agreement brokered by Russian peacekeepers. This offensive resulted in the profound dissolution of the Artsakh Defense Army and the

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Prisons of Power: the Sahel insurgency worsens

Articles / Africa Corps, Benin, Burkina Faso, Due Diligence, Europe, Extremists, Geopolitics, Ghana, International Security, Mali, Niger, Russia GRU, Sahel, security risks, Terrorism, USA, Wagner / 12/2024

The on-going insurgency in the Sahel region, traditionally seen in Mali and Burkina Faso, is experiencing a notable expansion, potentially threatening the stability of neighbours Ghana and Benin. This increased geographic spread is partly influenced by the presence of Russia's GRU controlled 'Africa Corps’, which is the new umbrella organisation encompassing the Wagner Group infantry,

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Balkans Battlegrounds: external influences and internal divisions

Articles / Bosnia and Herzegovina, China, Due Diligence, European Union, Geopolitics, Kosovo, NATO, political instability, Republic of Serbia, Russia / 11/2024

In the multi-faceted geopolitical landscape of the Balkans, the unresolved sovereignty dispute between Serbia and Kosovo - coupled with Bosnia's internal disagreements - pose substantial risks for multinational corporations. Kosovo’s recent actions to close border crossings in response to protests and new Serbian legislation, emphasise the on-going volatility in the region. These events reflect deep-seated

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Breaking point in the Northern Triangle – Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador

Articles / Corruption, Due Diligence, El Salvador, Geopolitics, Global trade, Guatemala, Honduras, Immigration, international business, political instability, USA / 11/2024

Central America’s Northern Triangle consisting of Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador (with a total of 9.2 million people) is grappling with relentless political upheaval and unrest. This not only impinges on domestic conditions but also seriously impacts international migration figures and foreign policy. The region's strategic importance, due to its proximity to major trade routes

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Two’s company, three’s a crowd

Articles / BRICS, China, Due Diligence, European Union, Geopolitics, global economy, International Security, North korea, Russia, Russia:Ukraine conflict, USA / 11/2024

Recent developments have identified an escalation of alliances, with North Korean (NK) premier, Kim Jong Un, bolstering Vladimir Putin’s military capability by providing much-needed arms and personnel supplies for their war against Ukraine. This enhanced collaboration not only reveals a greater bond between NK and Russia, but it also presents a subtle challenge within the

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BRICS 2024: Expansion and the great de-dollarisation debate

Articles / Brazil, BRICS, China, de-dollarisation, Due Diligence, Geopolitics, global economy, India, international business, multi-currencies, Russia, USA, world trade / 11/2024

At the recent BRICS summit hosted in Kazan, Russia, the bloc not only expanded its influence by welcoming new full members Iran, Ethiopia and the UAE, but it also extended invitations to thirteen additional ‘partner countries’. This activity reflects BRICS’s growing status in geopolitics. However, beneath the veil of this expansion lies a contentious issue:

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The South Atlantic Ocean: geopolitics, resources and global influence

Articles / Africa, Angola, Brazil, China, Due Diligence, Geopolitics, maritime law, Oil, South Atlantic, territorial waters, USA / 10/2024

The South Atlantic is fast becoming a focal point of interest and competition, accentuated by its abundant oil reserves and fishing territories. This region - bridging South America and West Africa - not only boasts vast economic potential but also holds significant geopolitical importance, monitored by multinationals and global powers alike. Stakeholders in these contested

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