Geopolitics

The South China Sea: Is there a compromise?

The South China Sea remains a focal point of strategic and territorial dispute, principally involving China and neighbouring ASEAN member countries like the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia. This region, crucial for international shipping and its wealth of natural resources, witnesses frequent disputes that have the potential to escalate into greater regional conflict. China's assertive [...]

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Nagorno-Karabakh has fallen: Russia’s silent role

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, a longstanding territorial dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan, has escalated exponentially over years. In September 2023, Azerbaijan launched a military offensive against the self-declared Republic of Artsakh in Nagorno-Karabakh, leading to a ceasefire agreement brokered by Russian peacekeepers. This offensive resulted in the profound dissolution of the Artsakh Defense Army and the

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Prisons of Power: the Sahel insurgency worsens

The on-going insurgency in the Sahel region, traditionally seen in Mali and Burkina Faso, is experiencing a notable expansion, potentially threatening the stability of neighbours Ghana and Benin. This increased geographic spread is partly influenced by the presence of Russia's GRU controlled 'Africa Corps’, which is the new umbrella organisation encompassing the Wagner Group infantry,

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Balkans Battlegrounds: external influences and internal divisions

In the multi-faceted geopolitical landscape of the Balkans, the unresolved sovereignty dispute between Serbia and Kosovo - coupled with Bosnia's internal disagreements - pose substantial risks for multinational corporations. Kosovo’s recent actions to close border crossings in response to protests and new Serbian legislation, emphasise the on-going volatility in the region. These events reflect deep-seated

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Breaking point in the Northern Triangle – Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador

Central America’s Northern Triangle consisting of Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador (with a total of 9.2 million people) is grappling with relentless political upheaval and unrest. This not only impinges on domestic conditions but also seriously impacts international migration figures and foreign policy. The region's strategic importance, due to its proximity to major trade routes

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Two’s company, three’s a crowd

Recent developments have identified an escalation of alliances, with North Korean (NK) premier, Kim Jong Un, bolstering Vladimir Putin’s military capability by providing much-needed arms and personnel supplies for their war against Ukraine. This enhanced collaboration not only reveals a greater bond between NK and Russia, but it also presents a subtle challenge within the

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BRICS 2024: Expansion and the great de-dollarisation debate

At the recent BRICS summit hosted in Kazan, Russia, the bloc not only expanded its influence by welcoming new full members Iran, Ethiopia and the UAE, but it also extended invitations to thirteen additional ‘partner countries’. This activity reflects BRICS’s growing status in geopolitics. However, beneath the veil of this expansion lies a contentious issue:

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The South Atlantic Ocean: geopolitics, resources and global influence

The South Atlantic is fast becoming a focal point of interest and competition, accentuated by its abundant oil reserves and fishing territories. This region - bridging South America and West Africa - not only boasts vast economic potential but also holds significant geopolitical importance, monitored by multinationals and global powers alike. Stakeholders in these contested

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Aegean Shadows: the battle for blue gold in the Eastern Mediterranean

The Eastern Mediterranean region, known for vast natural gas reserves and contentious maritime boundaries, is the subject of recent concerning geopolitical discourse. Interaction between Turkey, Greece and Cyprus reveals a wider narrative of regional muscle flexing and financial gain. These three countries, each with vested interests and historical claims, boarder maritime sea channels that have

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Debt distress in emerging markets

The financial status of some emerging markets is becoming deeply concerning, brought on not only by the fallout from the global pandemic but also as a result of escalating tensions between global superpowers Russia, China and the US. These conditions are exacerbating the debt crisis, causing many countries to default on national debt repayments. For

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