risks

Political shift to the right across Latin America

Introduction Across Latin America, there has been a noticeable movement toward right-wing, conservative and security-focused governments. This does not appear to represent a simple ideological conversion across the continent. Instead in many countries, voters have rejected their incumbent governments because of the rising crime, inflation, corruption, weak economic performance and frustration with established political parties.

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Europe’s left/right shift: Do the terms mean anything anymore?

Europe's political direction has changed significantly since the beginning of 2025. However, while established centre-left parties have suffered electoral setbacks and conservative, nationalist and sovereignty-focused movements have gained influence, the movement is not uniform - as it has been in Latin America - nor is it confined to traditional party divisions. In several countries, the

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Calm Deliberation Disentangles Every Knot

Canada’s trade talks collapse with the US should not be viewed simply as another tariff dispute between neighbours. The timing, as with everythinapse with the g in today's world, matters. Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended negotiations on 21 August, little more than ten weeks before the 3 November mid-term elections in the US. Washington says

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Canada – Carney’s Plan

Canada’s trade talks collapse with the US should not be viewed simply as another tariff dispute between neighbours. The timing, as with everythinapse with the g in today's world, matters. Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended negotiations on 21 August, little more than ten weeks before the 3 November mid-term elections in the US. Washington says

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Iran – a different conflict requires a different strategy

US and Israeli military operations have damaged Iranian facilities and removed senior leaders but have not forced Tehran to change its strategic objectives. Attempts to weaken Iran through leadership targeting may have created opportunities for a younger and potentially more militant generation within the IRGC. Iran views the conflict as a struggle for regime survival

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The Western Balkans – the rising threat from Russia and the risks for Europe

The Western Balkan states - Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Kosovo, Albania, and North Macedonia - remain overlooked areas of potential investment. However, oft-cited risks of operating there include weak governance and political paralysis, unresolved conflicts and secessionist movements, the enduring presence of organised crime groups and foreign hybrid influence. These structural threats are considerable,

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The Globalists are losing their grip

Globalist interests have enjoyed considerable influence for many decades. However, that position is now changing and at an increasing pace. Putting aside Iran and Ukraine for the moment, the world is at war between those who believe in protecting and building their countries and those who are driven to financially liquidate them to increase their wealth,

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Why Turkey and Erdogan are now the centre of Trump’s attention

President Trump effectively said it himself. He went to Ankara to see President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and made clear that he would not have made the journey for most other leaders. He also said plainly that he stood with Turkey. Those remarks matter because they reveal that the NATO summit itself was almost just a

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The collapse of the old order: Europe’s political crisis and the rise of strategic realignment

The geopolitical assumptions that defined the post-Cold War era are rapidly disintegrating. Across Europe, traditional political parties are collapsing under the weight of public frustration, while NATO struggles to adapt to the realities of modern warfare exposed by Ukraine. At the same time, the media environment that once sustained Western consensus politics is fragmenting as

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Turkey, Russia and China’s ungainly relations

Europe’s political class has once again found itself in a state of anxious overreaction, this time sparked by comments from European Commission President, Ursula von der Leyen, that appeared to place Turkey in the same geopolitical category as Russia and China. The diplomatic tremors that followed were revealing not because they exposed some new strategic

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