China

China and Russia: Moving mountains

A summit is an appropriate place to talk of mountains, and so Beijing’s description of the Russia-China partnership as, at the recent Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Summit in Samarkand, ‘stable as mountains’ is appropriate, if not entirely true. China has thus far been one of Russia’s few credible allies as the latter’s war in Ukraine stretches …

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Sri Lanka: A Rock and a Hard Place

After weeks of protest, violence and crises, the Sri Lankans finally have their man. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa has resigned and, as the one held personally responsible for the months of fuel, food and medicine shortages, and the veritable collapse of the Sri Lankan economy, the delight felt by those citizens currently enjoying ‘palace life’ is …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: South Korea July 2022

Introduction It is fair to say that the newly elected President, Yoon Suk-yeol, has his work cut out for him. Having won the presidency for one five-year term - the norm in South Korea - by just 0.79%, the possibility of him making any meaningful political difference seemed a highly unlikely proposition. Firstly, from a …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Pakistan June 2022

Introduction The legacy of the British partition of India in 1947 is still felt. Pakistan, the resulting Muslim-majority state, has been a country on the edge of religious fervour, political upheaval and existential dread for its entire existence. As one party in the world’s comparatively forgotten nuclear détente (outside of South Asia that is), and …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: India

A foul wind blows India some good – Maybe India finds itself on the brink of becoming a world superpower, potentially. It was perhaps Modi’s decisive action against China’s intrusions into the Eastern Ladakh’s Galwan River Valley in April/May/June 2020, that marked the country’s first real opportunity to be considered in such rarefied air. Yet …

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Political Risk Advisory Briefing: a growing geopolitical force?

Introduction Issues of unity and belonging dominate the political consciousness right now. These are expressed in the sense of Ukraine’s nationhood versus Russia’s desire to eradicate it, in the perhaps-to-be-expanded continental bodies of the EU and NATO, and the ‘global family’ that, still tackling the coronavirus pandemic together, could yet be plunged into a global …

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