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On Top of the World: Brazil’s business boom amid green horizons

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After two years of turbulence, Brazil enters mid-2025 on firmer economic footing. Real GDP expanded 3.4 percent in 2024 - its best since the pandemic - driven by household spending and a rebound in capital formation. Momentum is moderating as tighter policy grinds, yet consensus still pegs 2025 growth above two percent and expects inflation [...]

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Vietnam’s quiet rise amid global realignment

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Since 2007 when Vietnam joined the World Trade Organisation (WTO), this Southeast Asian nation has produced seven-fold straight growth up to 2022 in imports and exports combined. There was a drop of 6.6% in 2023 due to lower demand in exports from the US and EU, but that demand quickly recovered by 2024. That Vietnam

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Kazakhstan: The Eurasian Trade Pivot

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Kazakhstan enters mid-2025 in a somewhat different position from previous years. The economy is showing signs of stable growth, with the World Bank projecting GDP expansion driven by non-oil sectors, and revived investor interest. Inflation has eased, and fiscal buffers have been replenished following earlier shocks from the pandemic and energy price volatility. While hydrocarbons

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China’s Opportunities: Western partners and allies

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The evolving rift between Washington and Beijing is reshaping international trade and diplomacy. As the United States promotes a strategy of "de-risking" from China, aimed at reducing economic exposure without complete disengagement, Beijing is reinforcing its position as a necessary global partner. China continues to be as open for business as ever, offering investment opportunities

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Climbing High: India’s role in rewriting global supply chains

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India entered 2025 maintaining its status as one of the world's few high-growth economies, but when one peers beneath this encouraging data, the outlook is one of resilience and restraint. While government spending continues to drive infrastructure expansion and consumer demand remains steady, the momentum in private sector investment has not kept pace. According to

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Tariffs – opportunities amid the chaos?

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On the back of President Trump’s tariff announcement (“Independence Day”), a massive dive across the world’s stock markets drove panic to huge levels. But was that panic really necessary? So many experts have claimed for years that trade tariffs were the worst thing a country could possibly do against its own economy, yet, if the

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The Tripolar Era: Trump’s bold moves, Xi’s strategy, and Europe’s fight for relevance

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The world economy is entering a new era - one in which power is increasingly divided among three major continental blocs: the US, China and Europe. No longer a uni-polar world under post-Cold War US hegemony, the current landscape is defined by conflicting regulatory frameworks, trade policies and geopolitical ambitions. At the forefront of these

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Maximum Pressure – the USA’s stance in the Middle East

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In his second term, President Donald Trump has embarked on a series of assertive foreign policy shifts that are reshaping US engagement with the Middle East. Emphasising an "America First" agenda, the administration has adopted a more unilateral approach, re-evaluating traditional alliances and international commitments. ​A notable aspect of this strategy is the intensified ‘maximum

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Breaking out: Is Syria’s Hayat Tahrir al-Sham moving away from Jihad and Sharia law?

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As Syria’s new Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) led-government tentatively explores governance away from jihad and strict Sharia law, the reactions from extremist factions have been notably severe and revealing. Sami al-'Uraydi, leader of Syria's Tanzim Hurras al-Din (sometimes referred to as Al-Qaeda in Syria), has vocally opposed any deviation from Sharia, embodying a "Sharia or

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The Rise of Economic Nationalism: how protectionist policies are ending globalism

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Global trade’s share of economic output has decreased, while industrial policies focused on bolstering domestic industries are increasing, especially in wealthier countries. This change has since last year been dubbed "slowbalisation", signalling a slowdown in globalisation. However, rather than indicating a complete reversal, this shift reflects a growing emphasis on the protection of domestic industries,

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