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The new power play in Africa: Russia, China and the shifting sands of influence

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Africa’s geopolitical landscape is changing, driven by the active involvement of Russia and China. Russia has had a hand in Africa for some time, but China’s recent involvement is further impacting historic colonial structures and patterns. Vestiges of Africa’s colonial past are still evident in its regimented zones of influence and in the political and [...]

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Checkmate or stalemate: The global standoff between world leaders and citizens

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From the beginning of 2023, the geopolitical landscape has been marked by a series of escalating tensions and civil unrest – evidence of deep-seated economic, political and social discord across the globe. Some analysts are questioning whether businesses should expect civil unrest on a global scale, which could significantly impact market stability and operational continuity. China’s

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The deterioration of India–China relations: the battle for influence in South Asia

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India and China have long viewed each other’s global aspirations with suspicion. While their proximity makes them economically intertwined, their histories and geopolitical agendas have made their relationship fraught with distrust. India hopes for a multipolar international order in which New Delhi has a strong voice. Beijing wants to be a counterbalance to the US

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‘Silent Partners’ Part 2 – organised crime’s black market activities

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A troubling and complex issue has emerged in response to the US-led sanctions on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. Organised crime groups (OCGs), driven by their relentless pursuit of profit, have found fertile ground in evading these sanctions, resulting in a cascade of effects felt across the globe. This is Part 2 of an

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‘Silent Partners’ – organised crime’s profitable collaboration with sanctioned regimes

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Three decades after the conclusion of Cold War 1.0, the global stage is witnessing an unsettling revival of Cold War dynamics and tensions. The fall of the Soviet Union in 1991 was supposed to mark the start of a new era. However, relations between the United States of America, Russia, China, Ukraine, Iran, North Korea,

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US attempts to weaken BRICS

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With talk that Venezuela and Mexico are formally applying for membership of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa), it is a good time to assess just what the Biden administration is trying to do to weaken and break up the trading bloc. The US succeeded in regaining control over the Philippines as part

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The Ministry of State Security – China’s secret weapon?

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You don’t have to look far to find evidence of the Ministry of State Security (MSS), China’s core intelligence agency, at work. The legal, manufacturing and intelligence sectors have MSS fingerprints all over them. The MSS has sole responsibility for China’s foreign intelligence, counterintelligence and political security. As one of the most powerful and secretive

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The US vs China – who will draw back?

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The two major powerhouses of the world’s industrial and financial markets are not just at odds with each other but are fighting a ‘cold war’ that threatens the very foundations upon which all countries operate. Both economies are suffering – and that’s partly as a result of policies enacted by their own governments. For China, the

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Unravelling the Dragon’s downturn: analysing the decline of the Chinese Economy

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Growth in China’s GDP has unexpectedly slowed, raising concerns for its domestic and global growth prospects. In this second quarter, China’s gross domestic product grew by just 0.8%, signalling one of the worst performances in fifty years. Businesses that are heavily reliant on trade with China must mitigate risk and ensure they are adequately prepared

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Damned if you do, damned if you don’t – Putin and the BRICS summit

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Putin’s decision to avoid the BRICS summit is not all it seems. Between 22 and 24 August, South Africa will have the honour of hosting the 2023 annual BRICS summit. The big names – Brazil, India, China and the hosts, South Africa – will be present in full force. The Russian President will not. BRICS

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