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economic growth

Strategic Tension

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One of the very few theorical frameworks that actually seems to make sense of the geopolitical chaos we see today is that the City of London, and its aligned transnational financial networks, are in the process of liquidating the West, while trying to decamp to China. But things have not exactly gone according to plan. [...]

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Politics be damned

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This is no longer about Ukraine. It is about trajectory. The UK and EU leaders are driving their nations to a point where economic fragility, political fragmentation and strategic overreach will meet like a train crash. The continued rhetoric of open-ended confrontation with Russia may play well in chambers and summits, but the negative consequences

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Japan, US: a golden age?

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When Sanae Takaichi was elected as Japan’s first female prime minister on 21 October, many observers were quick to raise scepticism and criticism. But taking a step back from the usual negative-narrative lens reveals a number of real indicators that Japan might be entering a much more dynamic era; one in which strong leadership, a

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Mongolia’s Rare Earth Strategy: balancing risks and rivalries

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Wedged between China and Russia, Mongolia is often viewed through the prism of its geography: landlocked and dependent on its neighbours for access to global trade routes. Yet, beneath its deserts and steppes lies a resource base that has the potential to redraw supply chains for critical minerals. Copper, gold and rare earth elements make

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Energy, Politics and Power: Guyana’s High-Stakes Ascent

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ExxonMobil’s deepwater discoveries in Guyana’s Stabroek Block have transformed the country from a marginal player to one of the most promising oil frontiers globally. The block holds over 11 billion barrels of recoverable reserves, placing Guyana among the largest new offshore producers. Since 2022, Guyana’s GDP growth has been the fastest in the world, averaging

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On Top of the World: Brazil’s business boom amid green horizons

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After two years of turbulence, Brazil enters mid-2025 on firmer economic footing. Real GDP expanded 3.4 percent in 2024 - its best since the pandemic - driven by household spending and a rebound in capital formation. Momentum is moderating as tighter policy grinds, yet consensus still pegs 2025 growth above two percent and expects inflation

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Turkish Tales: why investors are looking again at Turkey

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After an eighteen-month monetary overhaul, Ankara is finally putting a lid on the price spiral that peaked above 70 percent last spring. The OECD’s April survey notes that, provided interest rates remain restrictive and fiscal discipline holds, consumer inflation should sink to single digits by 2027, bringing Turkey back within striking distance of its long-forgotten

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Vietnam’s quiet rise amid global realignment

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Since 2007 when Vietnam joined the World Trade Organisation (WTO), this Southeast Asian nation has produced seven-fold straight growth up to 2022 in imports and exports combined. There was a drop of 6.6% in 2023 due to lower demand in exports from the US and EU, but that demand quickly recovered by 2024. That Vietnam

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Kazakhstan: The Eurasian Trade Pivot

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Kazakhstan enters mid-2025 in a somewhat different position from previous years. The economy is showing signs of stable growth, with the World Bank projecting GDP expansion driven by non-oil sectors, and revived investor interest. Inflation has eased, and fiscal buffers have been replenished following earlier shocks from the pandemic and energy price volatility. While hydrocarbons

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The Future of Work has arrived: is your job future proof?

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The foundation of modern employment, study hard, secure a job, build a stable life, is eroding fast. Technological progress, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) and automation, is breaking down the old economic model that tied individual effort to secure long term work. From logistics to legal services, tasks considered immune to disruption are now being

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