risks – KCS Group Asia Ltd

Difficult Decisions: infrastructure choices, payments, sanctions and alternative networks

Articles / currency, Due Diligence, financial governance, Geopolitics, global payments, payment networks, risks, Sanctions, US-China trade / 09/2025

Cross-border payments for the most part still run on SWIFT and old-school correspondent banking, but rules are now forcing banks to go real time. Since 9 January 2025, EU banks have been required to receive euro instant payments within 10 seconds, 24/7. By this October, they also need to be able to send them. That [...]

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Laos, China and the Corridor

Articles / Australia, China, Due Diligence, European Union, Foreign investment, Global trade, Japan, Laos, risks, Southeast Asia, trade corridor, United Kingdom, USA / 09/2025

Since the China Laos Railway (CLR) began service in December 2021, Laos has shifted from a land-locked cul-de-sac to a viable overland bridge into China and, by extension, East Asia and Europe. Throughput is climbing with the line moving close to 3 million tonnes in the first half of 2025, up 8.8% year-on-year, indicating deeper

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West Africa’s Cocoa-driven Power Plays

Articles / Cocoa, Cote d'Ivoire, Due Diligence, Economy, farming industry, Foreign investment, Ghana, risks, trade relations, West Africa / 09/2025

After two poor seasons in West Africa, cocoa supply remains volatile. Forecasts now point to another output drop in 2025/26 - driven by erratic weather, disease pressure, ageing trees and even mining encroachment - pushing prices to extreme levels and straining operations. This squeeze has created the political space for Accra and Abidjan to lean

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Mongolia’s Rare Earth Strategy: balancing risks and rivalries

Articles / China, Due Diligence, economic growth, Foreign investment, global trade routes, minerals, Mongolia, political instability, risks, Russia, supply chains / 08/2025

Wedged between China and Russia, Mongolia is often viewed through the prism of its geography: landlocked and dependent on its neighbours for access to global trade routes. Yet, beneath its deserts and steppes lies a resource base that has the potential to redraw supply chains for critical minerals. Copper, gold and rare earth elements make

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Energy, Politics and Power: Guyana’s High-Stakes Ascent

Articles / China, Due Diligence, economic growth, energy markets, energy supply, Foreign investment, Guyana, Oil, risks, supply chains, USA / 08/2025

ExxonMobil’s deepwater discoveries in Guyana’s Stabroek Block have transformed the country from a marginal player to one of the most promising oil frontiers globally. The block holds over 11 billion barrels of recoverable reserves, placing Guyana among the largest new offshore producers. Since 2022, Guyana’s GDP growth has been the fastest in the world, averaging

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Central Asia: from sanctions to strategy

Articles / Central Asia, China, Due Diligence, Economy, Europe, Foreign investment, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, risks, Sanctions, trade corridor, Uzbekistan / 08/2025

Kazakhstan is moving the fastest. Construction is under way on the new Darbaza-Maktaaral rail link to Uzbekistan (US$523 million) and a second track on the Dostyk-Moiynty section to lift China-Europe capacity five-fold by 2027. At the Caspian end, Aktau will add a 200,000 TEU container hub by 2025 for just US$42 million, while Kuryk gains

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Corridors or Chokepoints – the infrastructure bet driving Ethiopia’s future

Articles / Africa, China, Denmark, Due Diligence, Economy, energy supply, Ethiopia, European Union, Foreign investment, Geopolitics, Infrastructure, risks, Saudi, trade corridor, UAE / 08/2025

Although the Pretoria accord halted open warfare, Ethiopia’s political temperature has begun to rise again. Rival factions inside the Tigray People’s Liberation Front now contest the authority of the federally backed Interim Administration; analysts warn that internal splits could ignite a fresh insurgency and draw Eritrea back in. In parallel, the Fano militia in Amhara

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Tensions Mount in the Middle East: countries close to conflict

Articles / Conflict, Due Diligence, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Middle East, Red Sea, risks, Saudi Arabia, supply chains, Syria, Turkey, UAE, United States of America, Yemen / 07/2025

Washington’s 22 June strikes on Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan crippled centrifuge halls and auxiliary power systems, shaving, by Tehran’s own estimate, several months off its enrichment timetable and forcing emergency repairs under international scrutiny. Yet the underlying capability endures, IAEA data show Iran now holds more than 9 tons of enriched uranium, including enough 60

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South Africa: the state power crisis and civil unrest risk

Articles / BRICS, civil unrest, Due Diligence, Economy, Infrastructure, political instability, risks, South Africa, unemployment, volatile / 06/2025

South Africa’s economy in 2025 continues to struggle, with weak growth and mounting structural pressures. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has downgraded growth forecasts to approximately 1.2% for the year. Reuters confirm the government’s official forecast has also been lowered, as electricity supply constraints and tariff hikes weigh on businesses and consumers

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Kazakhstan: The Eurasian Trade Pivot

Articles / Asia, China, Due Diligence, economic growth, energy markets, Europe, Foreign investment, Geopolitics, Industrial, Kazakhstan, risks, Sanctions, Turkey, USA / 06/2025

Kazakhstan enters mid-2025 in a somewhat different position from previous years. The economy is showing signs of stable growth, with the World Bank projecting GDP expansion driven by non-oil sectors, and revived investor interest. Inflation has eased, and fiscal buffers have been replenished following earlier shocks from the pandemic and energy price volatility. While hydrocarbons

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