Warfare by any other name?

For years, European officials have spoken about “hybrid warfare” as though it were a future threat. It is not. It is already embedded in the political and economic landscape of the continent, and has been raging for years. Hybrid warfare does not begin with tanks crossing borders. It begins with ambiguity. It operates in the [...]

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China and the Power of One

China’s political direction since Donald Trump first entered the White House has often been described as reactive; a series of responses to tariffs, technology controls and diplomatic pressure. In reality, Beijing’s trajectory has been shaped less by Washington’s personalities than by a deeper conclusion reached within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), that the era of

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Canada’s strategic crossroads: navigating between Washington and Beijing

The environment that supported Canadian foreign policy since the end of the Cold War is fragmenting, with power politics returning to the centre of international relations and economic policy increasingly tied to strategic competition. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s speech at the World Economic Forum (WEF) reflected this assessment, arguing that the global governance framework is

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The US, EU and the UK: defence or destruction?

Transatlantic relations are entering a period of visible tension as political, economic and strategic pressures converge across the US, the EU and the UK. President Donald Trump’s return to office has accelerated these stresses rather than created them, exposing structural weaknesses that had been masked by habit, shared rhetoric and institutional inertia. Nowhere is this

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The age of strategic fatigue: why great powers are running out of appetite, not capability

At first glance, the global system appears more militarised and confrontational than at any point since the late Cold War; no surprise there with some 60 major conflicts affecting life and limb around the world as we speak. While this is underway, defence budgets are expanding across NATO, East Asia, the Middle East and Russia,

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UK & Europe’s Critical Infrastructure

For the past 18-24 months, KCS Group International has been warning – repeatedly and with increasing urgency - that Europe’s critical infrastructure is dangerously exposed. What was once a forecast is now an undeniable reality. Russia’s hybrid operations have not only intensified but quadrupled in 2025, exploiting every weakness in a system that has been

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Is the EU at war with the US or with itself?

The claim that the EU is “at war” with the US sounds hyperbolic at first glance. Washington remains Europe’s principal security guarantor, its largest external trading partner and (through NATO) the backbone of continental defence. Yet, beneath the formal architecture of alliance, a more corrosive dynamic has emerged. Policy choices taken in Brussels and several

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ARC and the powers determined to stop it

For the first time since the end of the Cold War, the world’s three largest powers (the US, Russia and China) are showing signs of drifting into a pragmatic triangular balance. It is not an alliance, and it is not ideological. It is, instead, the product of converging interests. Quiet US-Russia communications on energy and

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The end of the Global South? A fragmenting bloc with no common interests

The term Global South has served as diplomatic shorthand for a loose coalition of developing states seeking greater voice in a world dominated by Western institutions and norms. The label implied shared grievances and converging interests, suggesting that formerly marginalised regions could act collectively to reshape global governance. Today, however, this narrative is increasingly hard

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The Birth of a Tri-polarity: ARC (America-Russia-China)

Over several months, a subtle but potentially significant geopolitical realignment has been unfolding. Less and less is being discussed publicly about BRICS, while quiet discussions are getting a little louder about the possibility of a de facto tripolar system among the US, Russia and China. This emergent formation (some geopolitics analysts are now calling it ARC) is not

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