Europe – KCS Group Asia Ltd

Turkish Tales: why investors are looking again at Turkey

Articles / Business Risk, China, Due Diligence, economic growth, Europe, European Union, Geopolitics, Gulf, India, international business, Middle East, Russia, trade corridor, Turkey / 07/2025

After an eighteen-month monetary overhaul, Ankara is finally putting a lid on the price spiral that peaked above 70 percent last spring. The OECD’s April survey notes that, provided interest rates remain restrictive and fiscal discipline holds, consumer inflation should sink to single digits by 2027, bringing Turkey back within striking distance of its long-forgotten [...]

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Kazakhstan: The Eurasian Trade Pivot

Articles / Asia, China, Due Diligence, economic growth, energy markets, Europe, Foreign investment, Geopolitics, Industrial, Kazakhstan, risks, Sanctions, Turkey, USA / 06/2025

Kazakhstan enters mid-2025 in a somewhat different position from previous years. The economy is showing signs of stable growth, with the World Bank projecting GDP expansion driven by non-oil sectors, and revived investor interest. Inflation has eased, and fiscal buffers have been replenished following earlier shocks from the pandemic and energy price volatility. While hydrocarbons

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China’s Opportunities: Western partners and allies

Articles / China, Due Diligence, economic growth, Europe, Foreign investment, Geopolitics, Global trade, manufacturing, trade relations, USA / 05/2025

The evolving rift between Washington and Beijing is reshaping international trade and diplomacy. As the United States promotes a strategy of "de-risking" from China, aimed at reducing economic exposure without complete disengagement, Beijing is reinforcing its position as a necessary global partner. China continues to be as open for business as ever, offering investment opportunities

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The Tripolar Era: Trump’s bold moves, Xi’s strategy, and Europe’s fight for relevance

Articles / China, Donald Trump, Due Diligence, Europe, European Union, Geopolitics, global economy, Global trade, International Security, President Xi, USA / 03/2025

The world economy is entering a new era - one in which power is increasingly divided among three major continental blocs: the US, China and Europe. No longer a uni-polar world under post-Cold War US hegemony, the current landscape is defined by conflicting regulatory frameworks, trade policies and geopolitical ambitions. At the forefront of these

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The Rise of Economic Nationalism: how protectionist policies are ending globalism

Articles / China, Due Diligence, Europe, Foreign investment, Geopolitics, global economy, Global trade, Russia, supply chains, USA / 02/2025

Global trade’s share of economic output has decreased, while industrial policies focused on bolstering domestic industries are increasing, especially in wealthier countries. This change has since last year been dubbed "slowbalisation", signalling a slowdown in globalisation. However, rather than indicating a complete reversal, this shift reflects a growing emphasis on the protection of domestic industries,

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Prisons of Power: the Sahel insurgency worsens

Articles / Africa Corps, Benin, Burkina Faso, Due Diligence, Europe, Extremists, Geopolitics, Ghana, International Security, Mali, Niger, Russia GRU, Sahel, security risks, Terrorism, USA, Wagner / 12/2024

The on-going insurgency in the Sahel region, traditionally seen in Mali and Burkina Faso, is experiencing a notable expansion, potentially threatening the stability of neighbours Ghana and Benin. This increased geographic spread is partly influenced by the presence of Russia's GRU controlled 'Africa Corps’, which is the new umbrella organisation encompassing the Wagner Group infantry,

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The Growing Threat of Disinformation in Europe

Articles / Business Risk, cyberwarfare, disinformation, Due Diligence, Europe, Geopolitics, Reputational Risk Management, Russia, security risks / 10/2024

Disinformation - the distribution of misleading information used to coerce - has become a critical threat to Europe. Unlike misinformation, which is commonly shared unintentionally, disinformation is specifically crafted to disrupt stability, undermine confidence and steer public opinion. In recent years, Europe has become a hotspot for such campaigns, with prominent states like Russia utilising

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Shift of Power: The Pivot of Multinationals to Asia and its Global Impact

Articles / ASEAN, Asia, Business Risk, Due Diligence, Europe, global implications, Global trade, Market Entry Research / 09/2024

In response to stagnating growth in traditional markets, multinationals from the West have been turning their attention to Asia, a region abundant in economic growth and increasing consumer numbers. Western capitalists are being enticed by the need for diversified investments and higher returns. In this article, we examine the motivations of Western businesses moving into

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Awakening the Tiger: Vietnam’s surge in the global economy

Articles / ASEAN, China, Due Diligence, Europe, Foreign investment, global economy, supply chains, USA, Vietnam / 05/2024

Vietnam has witnessed substantial growth lately, recovering rather abruptly from the global chaos caused by the pandemic. Since then, the nation has welcomed a surge in foreign direct investments (FDI) and seen its manufacturing sector expand which, combined, have been the backbone of its economic recovery. The reason has, at least in part, been as

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The Real Threat to the West from Russia and China

Articles / Africa, China, Due Diligence, Europe, Geopolitics, north south trade corridor, Russia / 05/2023

If Russia and China successfully expand and develop the North-South trading corridor over the next two years, the impact on the world economy could be huge. It is difficult to estimate accurately how much of the US$94 trillion world economy would be accessible to this newly fortified trading coalition. One thing is certain, however – it

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