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NATO

The age of strategic fatigue: why great powers are running out of appetite, not capability

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At first glance, the global system appears more militarised and confrontational than at any point since the late Cold War; no surprise there with some 60 major conflicts affecting life and limb around the world as we speak. While this is underway, defence budgets are expanding across NATO, East Asia, the Middle East and Russia, [...]

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Is the EU at war with the US or with itself?

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The claim that the EU is “at war” with the US sounds hyperbolic at first glance. Washington remains Europe’s principal security guarantor, its largest external trading partner and (through NATO) the backbone of continental defence. Yet, beneath the formal architecture of alliance, a more corrosive dynamic has emerged. Policy choices taken in Brussels and several

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ARC and the powers determined to stop it

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For the first time since the end of the Cold War, the world’s three largest powers (the US, Russia and China) are showing signs of drifting into a pragmatic triangular balance. It is not an alliance, and it is not ideological. It is, instead, the product of converging interests. Quiet US-Russia communications on energy and

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Balkans Battlegrounds: external influences and internal divisions

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In the multi-faceted geopolitical landscape of the Balkans, the unresolved sovereignty dispute between Serbia and Kosovo - coupled with Bosnia's internal disagreements - pose substantial risks for multinational corporations. Kosovo’s recent actions to close border crossings in response to protests and new Serbian legislation, emphasise the on-going volatility in the region. These events reflect deep-seated

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The Bulgarian 2024 Elections

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The next Bulgarian elections, scheduled for 9 June 2024, will be a turning point in the country’s democracy. The results of these elections will affect not only domestic policy but also international relations, with emphasis on the European Union (EU) and NATO. Backstage there are, however, rising geopolitical tensions and shifts, such as the two-year

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Austria, Hungary: Choose your friends wisely!

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Russian intelligence agencies like the KGB, now rebranded as the FSB, the GRU and the SVR have, for some years, been quietly and discreetly infiltrating the EU. Countries like Austria, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and the Baltics are all the subject of their attention. Russian influence is now much stronger in Europe than people realise. For

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Georgia: The song remains the same

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As the fifteen-year anniversary of Vladimir Putin’s first attempt at recreating the Soviet Union approaches, the 2008 invasion of Georgia and the brief conflict that resulted needs to be reassessed: both as a military offensive on its own terms, and as part of a Kremlin grand strategy that has only intensified in the years since.

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The Scandinavian Candidates – Finland and Sweden to Join NATO in Major Shift to European Security Landscape

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Finland and Sweden are set to become NATO’s youngest members following the June summit in Madrid. The fast-tracking of the two Scandinavian democracies is expected to further isolate Russia, officially designated ‘the most significant threat to international security’ in the latest Strategic Concept. Finnish and Swedish representatives were hesitant to accept a membership condition imposed

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