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From Conflict Zone to Energy Hub: Mozambique’s LNG Gamble

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In northern Mozambique, lies one of the world’s richest undeveloped gas basins, just offshore in a province still scarred by jihadist violence. Since 2017, the Cabo Delgado insurgency has claimed at least 4,600 lives and uprooted about a million residents, forcing TotalEnergies to suspend work on its flagship LNG complex in 2021. Fast‑forward to July 2025: Rwandan and [...]

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Urgent Cyber Alert – Ransomware and Cyber Attacks escalating to war-like levels

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We are issuing this urgent cyber alert in light of the dramatic surge in ransomware and cyber-attacks impacting organisations across the UK and Europe. The severity and sophistication of these attacks represent a significant escalation, moving beyond isolated incidents to what can only be described as a state of cyber warfare. Intelligence from both European

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Breaking out: Is Syria’s Hayat Tahrir al-Sham moving away from Jihad and Sharia law?

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As Syria’s new Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) led-government tentatively explores governance away from jihad and strict Sharia law, the reactions from extremist factions have been notably severe and revealing. Sami al-'Uraydi, leader of Syria's Tanzim Hurras al-Din (sometimes referred to as Al-Qaeda in Syria), has vocally opposed any deviation from Sharia, embodying a "Sharia or

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Sudan on the brink: a civil war and those profiting

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The brutal conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has plunged Sudan deep into humanitarian crisis, marked by staggering loss of life and mass displacement. Death tolls are now nearing 150,000, and millions have been forced from their homes. The scale of suffering reported is immense. International involvement is

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Hybrid Warfare – the coordinated efforts of Russia and China against the West

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Russia and China are conducting hybrid warfare campaigns against Western nations, leveraging a blend of conventional military assets and non-military tactics, including cyberattacks, disinformation, economic pressure, and exploitation of political and legal systems. These efforts aim to destabilise and weaken adversaries from within. Russia has been intensifying its sabotage campaigns across the EU, reflecting a

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Ethiopia’s Fractured State: The fragile path forward

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While the world’s media has largely focused on Ethiopia’s Tigray conflict, unrest in Oromia (Central Ethiopia) and other regions reveals the scale of volatility within the country. Oromia, Ethiopia's largest region, has been the scene of ethnic tensions, driven by longstanding grievances over political sidelining, unequal resource allocation and land rights. The Oromo Liberation Army

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Prisons of Power: the Sahel insurgency worsens

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The on-going insurgency in the Sahel region, traditionally seen in Mali and Burkina Faso, is experiencing a notable expansion, potentially threatening the stability of neighbours Ghana and Benin. This increased geographic spread is partly influenced by the presence of Russia's GRU controlled 'Africa Corps’, which is the new umbrella organisation encompassing the Wagner Group infantry,

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The Growing Threat of Disinformation in Europe

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Disinformation - the distribution of misleading information used to coerce - has become a critical threat to Europe. Unlike misinformation, which is commonly shared unintentionally, disinformation is specifically crafted to disrupt stability, undermine confidence and steer public opinion. In recent years, Europe has become a hotspot for such campaigns, with prominent states like Russia utilising

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Indian Elections 2024: Everything you need to know

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On Friday 19 April 2024, the next Indian election process commences, with the announcement of the winners on Tuesday 4 June. It not only embodies the selection of new leaders but will address fundamental socio-political challenges for one of the world’s superpowers. This election will take place against the backdrop of global uncertainty. Issues such

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The subtle traps of sophisticated social engineering

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Social engineering is on the rise. Increasingly sophisticated attacks are testing our ability to recognise scams and challenging businesses’ cybersecurity protocols. Orchestrators of such schemes exploit psychological vulnerabilities, targeting the human element of security systems rather than relying on conventional technological tactics. Their methods involve manipulating individuals so that they inadvertently reveal confidential information that

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